Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.004964 0.005477 0.006031 0.006677 0.007411 0.008222 0.009189
2025-08-03 0.004121 0.004825 0.005644 0.006677 0.007955 0.009500 0.011531
2025-08-10 0.003609 0.004388 0.005339 0.006603 0.008260 0.010393 0.013401
2025-08-17 0.003289 0.004122 0.005180 0.006646 0.008665 0.011407 0.015521
2025-08-24 0.002999 0.003851 0.004968 0.006573 0.008875 0.012151 0.017338
2025-08-31 0.002719 0.003562 0.004697 0.006376 0.008870 0.012561 0.018691
2025-09-07 0.002541 0.003393 0.004569 0.006359 0.009109 0.013342 0.020717
2025-09-14 0.002452 0.003337 0.004590 0.006555 0.009681 0.014696 0.023894
2025-09-21 0.002287 0.003159 0.004417 0.006435 0.009736 0.015212 0.025682
2025-09-28 0.002139 0.002994 0.004251 0.006308 0.009762 0.015670 0.027425
2025-10-05 0.002036 0.002889 0.004164 0.006297 0.009974 0.016470 0.029949
2025-10-12 0.001975 0.002842 0.004163 0.006424 0.010432 0.017765 0.033701
2025-10-19 0.001870 0.002725 0.004049 0.006363 0.010570 0.018518 0.036553
2025-10-26 0.001785 0.002634 0.003972 0.006359 0.010817 0.019528 0.040224
2025-11-02 0.001695 0.002530 0.003864 0.006290 0.010929 0.020274 0.043436
2025-11-09 0.001634 0.002467 0.003821 0.006331 0.011255 0.021511 0.048153
2025-11-16 0.001558 0.002376 0.003723 0.006262 0.011355 0.022270 0.051821
2025-11-23 0.001469 0.002257 0.003569 0.006077 0.011196 0.022428 0.053889
2025-11-30 0.001413 0.002193 0.003507 0.006060 0.011387 0.023418 0.058589
2025-12-07 0.001394 0.002187 0.003548 0.006245 0.012027 0.025577 0.067443
2025-12-14 0.001330 0.002104 0.003442 0.006132 0.012000 0.026089 0.071254
2025-12-21 0.001270 0.002023 0.003338 0.006013 0.011947 0.026527 0.074962
2025-12-28 0.001229 0.001973 0.003288 0.006002 0.012143 0.027646 0.081415